Your Pattern
Best Lake Placid: 3:09:59 (2023). Marathon PR: 3:08:12 on the flat Cheap Marathon course. Sub-3 needs 6:51/mi — that's 23 sec/mi faster than your best LP. The 2025 splits show your historical fade: ~7:00 first 13 mi, drift to 7:30s, then collapse to 9–10 min/mi after mile 19.
Plan for June 14
- 1
Don't bomb the mile-3 descent. 6:35 is your prescribed split — not 6:15. Save the legs.
- 2
Lock 6:50–6:55 through mile 12. Bank nothing. Fade-prevention is built in the early miles.
- 3
Climb mile 13 honest at 7:09. Lose ~18 sec, get it back on the mile-17 descent.
- 4
Survive miles 24–25 at 7:00. Historical bonk zone. Caffeine gel mile 22, dig at mile 24, flat closer.